UK automotive industry motoring towards record vehicle production in 2020, finds new forecast report

13 October 2015 #SMMT News
  • Annual production to hit all-time record of two million vehicles in 2020, beating former 1970s high.
  • Sector growth could create 37,500 new UK jobs by 2020, with supply chain providing lion’s share.
  • UK is EU’s second-biggest maker of premium cars and greater shift to premium production expected.

The UK automotive industry is on course to break manufacturing records by the end of the decade, according to a new forecast report launched today by The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). Annual car production is expected to pass the two million milestone by 2020 – breaking the current record of 1.92 million cars which was set in 1972, when the most popular car was the Ford Cortina rather than today’s top-seller, the Ford Fiesta.

More than 1.5 million cars were built in the UK in 2014, and acceleration in productivity and production volumes towards the end of the decade will see the UK consolidate its position as the third-largest maker of cars in Europe, behind Germany and Spain but ahead of France and a strengthening Eastern Europe.

The report also predicts a rise in employment, with jobs growth in the sector driven predominantly in the supply chain. Up to 9,500 jobs will be created at source by vehicle manufacturers, but that could generate a potential extra 28,000 at component supply companies as UK manufacturers’ demand for home-grown components increases.

Key to the sector’s success is the ‘shift to premium’ – in other words, the increasing value of the vehicles made in – and exported by – British manufacturers. In 2010, 37% of UK car production was by premium manufacturers; this is projected to rise to 54% by 2020. This reflects increasing global demand for premium vehicles and benefits the whole economy, with more value generated for each vehicle exported. The UK is already Europe’s second-highest producer of premium cars, behind only Germany.

The report – The Future of UK Automotive Manufacturing in 2025 and Beyond1was launched today at the SMMT International Automotive Summit in London, and provides a comprehensive long-term outlook on the future of the UK automotive industry.

Since the recession, the UK automotive sector has undergone a renaissance with significant recent investments – including a cumulative £2 billion to-date in 2015 alone. Car production for the year-to-date passed the one million mark last month, its best annual performance since the recession.

The prospects for the UK automotive sector are well grounded – although as the report makes clear, this is dependent on global market conditions and the prospect of future investments which assume the UK’s continued membership of the European Union.

Speaking at the Summit, Mike Hawes, SMMT Chief Executive, said, “This report is further proof of the growing stature of the UK as a global destination for high quality vehicle manufacture. The automotive industry has made tremendous strides in recent years, as significant investment, along with partnership with government, has driven huge growth in production and employment.

“The prospect of further jobs growth, particularly in the supply chain, is extremely encouraging, while the UK’s consolidation as a global hub for premium production is testament to our prowess in design and precision engineering. This success, built on improvements in productivity, workforce flexibility and skilled people, has been hard-fought for; we cannot be complacent. Future growth in a fiercely competitive global market will rely upon continued government support, as well as an attractive business environment which drives investment and stimulates innovation.”

Best-sellers: then and now
1972 2015 (YTD)
1. Ford Cortina 1. Ford Fiesta
2. Ford Escort 2. Vauxhall Corsa
3. Morris Marina 3. Ford Focus
4. BL 1100/1300 4. Volkswagen Golf
5. Vauxhall Viva/Magnum 5. Nissan Qashqai
1. The Future of UK Automotive Manufacturing in 2025 and Beyond – report authored by Ian Henry of independent automotive research consultancy AutoAnalysis. For more information contact Ian Henry. Click through to download the report in full.

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